OPEN CLASS | WHERE ARE EUROPE AND PORTUGAL GOING IN A MULTIPOLAR WORLD?

15 May 2025 - 11:00

Auditorium 1

Talking about a geopolitical Europe, that is, about a European Union as a relevant actor in world politics, using the classic instruments of state power, is a very sensitive topic in terms of its discussion, which has become long-lasting and changeable. It is no secret that the main opponents of a unipolar world are Russia and China. Both challenge the international order based on the principles of capitalism, which represents the normative face of a global system centered on the USA and the West. The Russian opposition is the loudest and most violent, as demonstrated by the conflict in Eastern Europe. However, its global power, with collateral effects on other countries, is limited by factors such as, for example, the economy and demographics. China, on the other hand, is the state with the greatest potential to transform the international system. Its consistent expansion in global markets – from Asia to Latin America, via Africa and Europe itself, albeit in different ways – demonstrates its influence. Furthermore, the fact that it is the largest trading power in terms of goods traded reinforces its economic weight, although in the services sector, the US and the West still maintain superiority. Faced with this new international scenario, marked by rising contesting powers, the European Union faces the challenge of defining its positioning to defend its strategic interests, covering, for example, the economic, political, military and security dimensions. The debate about which of the systems – unipolar, bipolar or multipolar – guarantees greater stability and peace in international relations remains open. The transition to a multipolar world was the vision of Josep Borrell, as Vice-President of the European Commission until December 2024 and High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy and Head of the European External Action Service (EEAS), the diplomatic corps of the European Union. According to Borrell, the challenge for Europe is to adapt to the new distribution of power while trying to reduce the political fragmentation of the world into competing blocs. Josep Borrell also stated that over the last decade and a half the world has been gradually moving towards what he defines as a “complex multipolarity”. From an economic point of view, he highlights the existence of three dominant poles: the USA, China and the European Union. However, he stresses that, politically, the global configuration is even more complex. Discussing a geopolitical and geoeconomic Europe is a path full of challenges. This Open Class will focus on this intricate junction.